I guess no one really enjoys reading a Red Herring Prospectus (RHP).
Those reams of paper make for dry reading and could put anyone to sleep.
In the investment management industry, however, it’s an occupational hazard 😀 There is no getting away from it.
That said, there is the occasional RHP that I look forward to reading.
In the recent past, I recall one such SEC filing that made for an interesting read: Coinbase’s RHP (some spoilers here in case you plan to revisit it : the landing page, Page 1, of the prospectus mentions Satoshi Nakamoto and his Bitcoin Address 1A1zP1eP5QGefi2DMPTfTL5SLmv7DivfNa, Page 19 of the RHP states this as a risk factor: the identification of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous person or persons who developed Bitcoin, or the transfer of Satoshi’s Bitcoins)
The key point here is this: reading the RHP is necessary, especially if the company in question is pioneering a new paradigm.
Uber, Google, Groupon are possibly some other examples that come to mind.
So, yes, in that context, I look forward to reading SHEIN’s RHP.
The Chinese company, a pioneer in fast fashion, is stitching up a blockbuster IPO, with plans to go public this year.
The company’s business playbook relies on an immediate absorption of market demand at a response speed that makes ZARA SA (the original pioneer of the adaptive strategy in fashion) look a tad slower.
Shein is on a tear, posting revenues of $23 billion and $30 billion (expected) in 2022 and 2023.
A valuation of $70 billion to $80 billion at 2.5x sales looks a given.
The business is riding a wave of popularity among shoppers: Shein was the second most downloaded shopping app of 2023 (trailing Temu and ahead of Amazon; see image, Source: Statista)
What could be of interest then in their RHP?
Lawsuits!
Specifically, allegations that Shein counterfeits products made by its peer firms.
Plaintiffs range from firms like H&M to several small business owners.
It’s tough to surmise what might be written on this subject on those pages.
Shein might either detail their plans to counter the allegations of counterfeiting.
Or that they might just acknowledge that counterfeiting has existed for ages.
And they have just added scale to an age-old practice.
Bringing counterfeiting to the mainstream.
By
Avinash Menon, CFA
Founder and CEO,
52 Seconds Capital Limited
