Yesterday, T. Rowe Price — founded in 1937, with $ 1.52 trillion in AUM — announced their plans to acquire Oak Hill Advisors, a leading Alternative Credit Manager with $53 billion in AUM. T. Rowe will fund the acquisition with 74% in cash and 26% in T. Rowe Price common stock for a total price of $3.3 billion. Additionally, the deal also has a sweetener for Oak Hill Advisors: a reward of $ 900 million in cash if certain performance milestones are met by 2025.
The acquisition price here works out to ~ 6% of Oak Hill’s AUM and at first look may appear expensive: Franklin Templeton acquired $804 billion in AUM from Legg Mason in a $4.5 billion all-cash transaction early last year. The FT acquisition price translates to roughly 50 bps on the target’s AUM.
Has T. Rowe overpaid?
This is the classic ‘Price Vs. Value’ debate that usually T. Rowe solves for its clients!
The markets did not seem to think T. Rowe overpaid: the stock was up 5.6% yesterday despite the Baltimore-based firm reporting net revenues that missed average analyst estimates and net outflows of $ 6.4 billion.
Lets delve into the mental-make up of the acquirer and perhaps therein lies the clues to this acquisition: T. Rowe has remained as sure-footed as the Big-horn Sheep in the active-management space for decades now and has steered clear of any forays into the index-hugging world of passives. Active Management is a tough terrain to continue to be on especially when looked at in the context of the rapid ascent of peers like Blackrock, Vanguard and Fidelity who straddle both passive and active-management.
T. Rowe’s acquisition does not appear to be ‘cost-synergies’ focused — unlike the FT-Legg Mason deal where cost-synergy was one of the key factors — but is instead an attempt to add breadth to its product range by adding the Alternative Assets Product Range from Oak Hills which includes: Private Markets, Liquid Strategies and Structured Strategies. These incremental products are also expected to improve fee margins since they have ‘performance fees’ and ‘carried interest’.
As the tailwinds continue to build up for the Alternative Assets space — with blue chips turning expensive and value-investing filters returning very few opportunities — this acquisition also appears timely and essential.
Long-term stockholders — T. Rowe is a dividend aristocrat that has increased its dividends for 35 consecutive years — will do well to wait and watch; as the Big-Horn Sheep attempts to bound up the slippery mountain slope of the Asset Management industry.
By
Avinash Menon, CFA
Founder and CEO,
52 Seconds Capital Limited
